{"id":8198,"date":"2017-09-14T17:49:47","date_gmt":"2017-09-14T08:49:47","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/nikkeiyosoku.com\/blog\/?p=8198"},"modified":"2017-09-19T14:57:13","modified_gmt":"2017-09-19T05:57:13","slug":"20170914-11-gatsu-age-anomaly","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nikkeiyosoku.com\/blog\/20170914-11-gatsu-age-anomaly\/","title":{"rendered":"\u3010\u30a2\u30ce\u30de\u30ea\u30fc\u301111\u6708\u682a\u9ad8\u306f\u672c\u5f53\uff1f\u65e5\u7d4c\u5e73\u5747\u682a\u4fa1\u306e\u5341\u5e74\u9593\u3067\u691c\u8a3c\u3057\u3066\u307f\u305f"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u682a\u5f0f\u6295\u8cc7\u306e\u4e16\u754c\u306b\u306f\u3001\u69d8\u3005\u306a\u30a2\u30ce\u30de\u30ea\u30fc<\/a>\uff08\u683c\u8a00\u30fb\u3053\u3068\u308f\u3056\uff09\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002\u305d\u306e\u4e2d\u3067\u3082\u7279\u306b\u6709\u540d\u306a\u3082\u306e\u306e\u4e00\u3064\u306b\u3001\u4e94\u6708\u306e\u76f8\u5834\u304c\u4e0b\u3052\u3084\u3059\u3044\u3068\u3044\u3046\u610f\u5473\u306e\u300c\u30bb\u30eb\u30fb\u30a4\u30f3\u30fb\u30e1\u30a4\uff08\u4e94\u6708\u306f\u58f2\u308a\uff09\u300d\u3068\u3044\u3046\u30a2\u30ce\u30de\u30ea\u30fc\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3057\u304b\u3057\u5b9f\u306f\u3001\u3053\u308c\u306b\u306f\u5bfe\u306b\u306a\u308b\u3082\u3046\u4e00\u3064\u306e\u30a2\u30ce\u30de\u30ea\u30fc\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002
\n\u305d\u308c\u304c\u300111\u6708\u306b\u306f\u76f8\u5834\u304c\u4e0a\u304c\u308a\u3084\u3059\u3044\u3001\u3068\u3044\u3046\u610f\u5473\u306e\u300c11\u6708\u30a2\u30ce\u30de\u30ea\u30fc\uff0811\u6708\u306f\u623b\u308c\uff09\u300d\u3068\u3044\u3046\u3082\u306e\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u300c11\u6708\u306e\u30a2\u30ce\u30de\u30ea\u30fc\u300d\u300c11\u6708\u306b\u306f\u623b\u308c\u300d\u3068\u306f<\/h3>\n

\u30bb\u30eb\u30fb\u30a4\u30f3\u30fb\u30e1\u30a4\u306f\u3001\u4e94\u6708\u306e\u682a\u5f0f\u76f8\u5834\u306f\u4e0b\u3052\u3084\u3059\u3044\u304b\u3089\u58f2\u308b\uff08Sell\uff09\u306e\u304c\u3088\u3044\u3001\u3068\u3044\u3046\u610f\u5473\u5408\u3044\u3067\u3059\u304c\u3001\u5341\u4e00\u6708\u306b\u306f\u9006\u306b\u3001\u682a\u5f0f\u76f8\u5834\u304c\u4e0a\u3052\u3084\u3059\u3044\u306e\u3067\u3001\u5e02\u5834\u306b\u623b\u3063\u3066\u304d\u3066\u682a\u5f0f\u3092\u8cb7\u3046\u306e\u304c\u826f\u3044\u3001\u3068\u3044\u3046\u610f\u5473\u5408\u3044\u3067\u3001\u300c11\u6708\u306b\u306f\u623b\u308c\u300d\u3068\u8a00\u3046\u306e\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3064\u307e\u308a\u300111\u6708\u304b\u3089\u682a\u4fa1\u306e\u4e0a\u6607\u30c8\u30ec\u30f3\u30c9\u304c\u8d77\u304d\u3084\u3059\u3044\u3053\u3068\u3092\u793a\u3059\u30a2\u30ce\u30de\u30ea\u30fc\u3067\u3059\u3002\u305d\u306e\u307e\u307e\u300c11\u6708\u306e\u30a2\u30ce\u30de\u30ea\u30fc\u300d\u3068\u3082\u547c\u3070\u308c\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6b27\u7c73\u3067\u306f\u3088\u304f\u8a71\u984c\u306b\u306e\u307c\u308b\u30a2\u30ce\u30de\u30ea\u30fc\u306a\u304c\u3089\u3001\u65e5\u672c\u3067\u306f\u610f\u5916\u3068\u3042\u307e\u308a\u77e5\u3089\u308c\u3066\u3044\u306a\u3044\u3088\u3046\u3067\u3059\u3002\u3057\u304b\u3057\u3001\u65e5\u672c\u3067\u3082\u3088\u304f\u8a71\u984c\u306b\u306a\u308b\u6709\u540d\u306a\u4ed6\u306e\u30a2\u30ce\u30de\u30ea\u30fc\u3068\u95a2\u9023\u4ed8\u3051\u3066\u8003\u3048\u308b\u3068\u3001\u975e\u5e38\u306b\u7d0d\u5f97\u304c\u3044\u304f\u3082\u306e\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

11\u6708\u306f\u306a\u305c\u682a\u9ad8\u30c8\u30ec\u30f3\u30c9\u306b\u306a\u308b\u306e\u304b\u3001\u305d\u306e\u7406\u7531<\/h3>\n

\u682a\u4fa1\u306f\u5168\u4f53\u3067\u898b\u308b\u3068\u5e38\u306b\u30e9\u30f3\u30c0\u30e0\u306b\u52d5\u3044\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3068\u8a00\u308f\u308c\u307e\u3059\u3002\u5c11\u3005\u304a\u304a\u3056\u3063\u3071\u306b\u8a00\u3046\u3068\u3001\u3042\u3057\u305f\u306e\u682a\u4fa1\u304c\u4e0a\u304c\u308b\u3082\u4e0b\u304c\u308b\u3082\u3001\u78ba\u7387\u306f\u6982\u306d\u4e94\u5206\u4e94\u5206\u3060\u3001\u3068\u3044\u3046\u3053\u3068\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3060\u304b\u3089\u3001\u300c\u30bb\u30eb\u30a4\u30f3\u30e1\u30a4\u300d\u3067\u4e94\u6708\u306b\u4e0b\u304c\u3063\u305f\u3089\u3001\u305d\u306e\u53cd\u52d5\u3068\u3057\u3066\u3001\u3044\u3064\u304b\u307e\u305f\u4e0a\u3052\u308b\u6708\u304c\u6765\u308b\u306e\u3067\u3059\u3002\u305d\u308c\u304c11\u6708\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

5\u6708\u304b\u308911\u6708\u304c\u6765\u308b\u307e\u3067\u3092\u3001\u30a2\u30ce\u30de\u30ea\u30fc\u3092\u53c2\u8003\u306b\u3057\u306a\u304c\u3089\u6982\u62ec\u3059\u308b\u3068\u3001\u6b21\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306b\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u30bb\u30eb\u30a4\u30f3\u30e1\u30a4\u306e5\u6708\u304b\u308910\u6708\u307e\u3067\u306f\u4e0b\u3052\u30c8\u30ec\u30f3\u30c9\u304c\u591a\u3044<\/h4>\n

\u307e\u305a\u300c\u30bb\u30eb\u30a4\u30f3\u30e1\u30a4\u300d\u306e\uff15\u6708\u306f\u6d77\u5916\u306e\u6c7a\u7b97\u6708\u3067\u3082\u3042\u308a\u3001\u682a\u4fa1\u304c\u5927\u304d\u304f\u4e0b\u3052\u3084\u3059\u3044\u6708\u3067\u3059\u3002\u305d\u3057\u3066\u3001\u305d\u308c\u304b\u3089\u307b\u3069\u306a\u304f\u3001\u30a2\u30ce\u30de\u30ea\u30fc\u3067\u8a00\u3046\u3068\u3053\u308d\u3067\u306f\u300c\u590f\u67af\u308c\u76f8\u5834<\/a>\u300d\u306b\u79fb\u884c\u3057\u3066\u3044\u304d\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u306a\u3064\u304c\u308c\u306e8\u6708\u682a\u5b89\u304b\u30899\u6708\u306e\u300c\u5f7c\u5cb8\u5e95<\/a>\u300d\u306b\u304b\u3051\u3066\u682a\u5b89\u304c\u7d9a\u304d\u3001\u3055\u3089\u306b\u306f\u300c10\u6708\u682a\u5b89<\/a>\u300d\u306e\u30a2\u30ce\u30de\u30ea\u30fc\u304c\u3084\u3063\u3066\u304d\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3053\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306b\u30015\u6708\u304b\u308910\u6708\u306f\u3001\u30a2\u30ce\u30de\u30ea\u30fc\u306e\u4e16\u754c\u3067\u306f\u304a\u304a\u3088\u305d\u304c\u300c\u4e0b\u3052\u76f8\u5834\u300d\u306a\u306e\u3067\u3059\u3002\u305d\u306e\u305f\u3081\u3001\u82f1\u8a9e\u570f\u3067\u306f\u300c\u4e94\u6708\u306b\u58f2\u3063\u3066\u3001\u305d\u306e\u307e\u307e\uff08\u5e02\u5834\u306b\uff09\u5e30\u3063\u3066\u304f\u308b\u306a\u300d\uff08 = “Sell in May and Go Away”\uff09\u3068\u3044\u3046\u30a2\u30ce\u30de\u30ea\u30fc\u3082\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

11\u6708\u304b\u30894\u6708\u306b\u304b\u3051\u3066\u4e0a\u3052\u30c8\u30ec\u30f3\u30c9\u304c\u3084\u3063\u3066\u304f\u308b<\/h4>\n

\u3053\u306e\u3001\u521d\u590f\u304b\u3089\u79cb\u306b\u304b\u3051\u3066\u306e\u67af\u308c\u76f8\u5834\u304b\u3089\u3001\u3064\u3044\u306b\u4e0a\u3052\u30c8\u30ec\u30f3\u30c9\u306b\u79fb\u308b\u30bf\u30a4\u30df\u30f3\u30b0\u304c\u3084\u3063\u3066\u304d\u307e\u3059\u3002\u305d\u308c\u304c\u3001\uff11\uff11\u6708\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6b63\u78ba\u306b\u306f\u300110\u670831\u65e5\uff08\u6708\u672b\uff09\u306b\u7bc0\u76ee\u304c\u3084\u3063\u3066\u304d\u3066\u3001\u305d\u308c\u304b\u308911\u6708\u306b\u682a\u4fa1\u3092\u4e0a\u3052\u308b\u3068\u3044\u3046\u306e\u3067\u3059\u3002
\n\u3053\u306e10\u670831\u65e5\u3068\u3044\u3046\u30c8\u30ec\u30f3\u30c9\u306e\u7bc0\u76ee\u306b\u6ce8\u76ee\u3057\u305f\u5834\u5408\u306b\u306f\u300111\u6708\u30a2\u30ce\u30de\u30ea\u30fc\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u300c\u30cf\u30ed\u30a6\u30a3\u30f3\u52b9\u679c\uff08 = “Halloween indicator”\uff09\u3068\u8aac\u660e\u3055\u308c\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3082\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

11\u6708\u30a2\u30ce\u30de\u30ea\u30fc\u3001\u3042\u308b\u3044\u306f\u30cf\u30ed\u30a6\u30a3\u30f3\u52b9\u679c\u306e\u80cc\u666f\u306b\u306f\u3001\u3053\u306e\u6642\u671f\u306b\u4f01\u696d\u6c7a\u7b97\u304c\u91cd\u306a\u308a\u3001\u6295\u8cc7\u5bb6\u5fc3\u7406\u306b\u8cb7\u3044\u50be\u5411\u304c\u5f37\u304f\u51fa\u308b\u3001\u3068\u3044\u3046\u3053\u3068\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002\u590f\u306e\u9593\u306e\u8edf\u8abf\u306a\u76f8\u5834\u3092\u7d4c\u3066\u300111\u6708\u306b\u4e00\u6c17\u306b\u6f6e\u76ee\u304c\u5909\u308f\u308b\u3001\u3068\u3044\u3046\u308f\u3051\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u305d\u3046\u3059\u308b\u3068\u30015\u6708\u304b\u308910\u6708\u306b\u304b\u3051\u3066\u4e0a\u5024\u306e\u91cd\u3044\u682a\u4fa1\u306f\u300110\u6708\u672b\u306e\u300c\u30cf\u30ed\u30a6\u30a3\u30f3\u52b9\u679c\u300d\u3092\u5883\u76ee\u306b\u4e0a\u6607\u57fa\u8abf\u3092\u793a\u3057\u51fa\u3057\u300111\u6708\u306b\u306f\u300c11\u6708\u306e\u30a2\u30ce\u30de\u30ea\u30fc\u300d\u3067\u4e0a\u6607\u30c8\u30ec\u30f3\u30c9\u306b\u4e57\u308a\u3084\u3059\u304f\u306a\u308b\u306e\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u904e\u53bb\u5341\u5e74\u306e\u65e5\u7d4c\u5e73\u5747\u682a\u4fa1\u3067\u691c\u8a3c\u3057\u3066\u307f\u308b<\/h3>\n

\u3053\u3046\u3057\u3066\u3001\u4ed6\u306e\u6709\u540d\u306a\u30a2\u30ce\u30de\u30ea\u30fc\u3068\u304b\u3089\u3081\u3066\u8003\u3048\u308b\u3068\u3001\u4e0a\u6607\u30c8\u30ec\u30f3\u30c9\u306e\u7bc0\u76ee\u3092\u793a\u305911\u6708\u306e\u30a2\u30ce\u30de\u30ea\u30fc\u306f\u3055\u3082\u3042\u308a\u306a\u3093\u3068\u3044\u3046\u3068\u3053\u308d\u3067\u3059\u304c\u3001\u5b9f\u969b\u306e\u3068\u3053\u308d\u306f\u3069\u3046\u306a\u306e\u3067\u3057\u3087\u3046\u304b\uff1f<\/p>\n

\u3068\u304f\u306b\u3001\u30a2\u30ce\u30de\u30ea\u30fc\u306f\u682a\u5f0f\u6295\u8cc7\u306e\u6b74\u53f2\u306e\u306a\u304b\u3067\u3082\u6bd4\u8f03\u7684\u6614\u304b\u3089\u8a9e\u3089\u308c\u308b\u3082\u306e\u304c\u591a\u304f\u3001\u96fb\u5b50\u5546\u53d6\u5f15\u3084\u30ed\u30dc\u30c8\u30ec\u30fc\u30c7\u30a3\u30f3\u30b0\u304c\u5c0e\u5165\u3055\u308c\u305f2000\u5e74\u4ee3\u5f8c\u534a\u4ee5\u964d\u306b\u3082\u30a2\u30ce\u30de\u30ea\u30fc\u304c\u305d\u306e\u307e\u307e\u901a\u7528\u3059\u308b\u304b\u3069\u3046\u304b\u306f\u3001\u78ba\u304b\u3081\u3066\u307f\u306a\u3044\u3068\u308f\u304b\u3089\u306a\u3044\u90e8\u5206\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u305d\u3053\u3067\u4eca\u56de\u306f\u3001\u65e5\u7d4c\u5e73\u5747\u682a\u4fa1\u306e\u300c2007\u5e74\u4ee5\u964d\u300d\u306e10\u5e74\u9593\u306e\u65e5\u8db3\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3092\u3082\u3068\u306b\u30015\u6708\u9803\u306811\u6708\u9803\u3067\u6bce\u5e74\u3069\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306a\u5024\u52d5\u304d\u304c\u8d77\u304d\u3066\u3044\u305f\u304b\u3092\u3001\u7d71\u8a08\u8abf\u67fb\u3057\u3066\u307f\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6b21\u306e\u56f3\u304c\u3001\u305d\u306e\u7d50\u679c\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\"\"<\/a>\n

\u3053\u306e\u5341\u5e74\u306e\u300c11\u6708\u30a2\u30ce\u30de\u30ea\u30fc\u300d\u5b9f\u73fe\u7387\u306f60\uff5e75%<\/h3>\n

\u4e0a\u306e\u56f3\u306f\u30015\u6708\u3068\u7d9a\u304f6\u6708\u306e\u682a\u4fa1\u5e73\u5747(A)\u3001\u304a\u3088\u307311\u6708\u3068\u7d9a\u304f12\u6708\u306e\u682a\u4fa1\u5e73\u5747(B)\u3092\u3001\u5e74\u3054\u3068\u306b10\u5e74\u9593\u306b\u308f\u305f\u3063\u3066\u6bd4\u8f03\u3057\u305f\u3082\u306e\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5358\u7d14\u306bA\u3068B\u3092\u6bd4\u8f03\u3059\u308b\u3068\u3001B\u3064\u307e\u308a11\u6708\u306b\u682a\u4fa1\u304c\u4e0a\u3052\u3066\u3044\u308b\u5e74\u306f\u3001\u516810\u5e74\u306e\u3046\u30616\u3064\u3067\u3001\u300c11\u6708\u306e\u30a2\u30ce\u30de\u30ea\u30fc\u300d\u5b9f\u73fe\u7387\u306f6\u5272\u3068\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3057\u304b\u3057\u3001\u3053\u306e\u7d71\u8a08\u306e\u3046\u3061\u30012007\u5e74\u30682008\u5e74\u306f\u3001\u6b74\u53f2\u7684\u306a\u7d4c\u6e08\u5371\u6a5f\u304c\u8d77\u304d\u3066\u3044\u305f\u671f\u9593\u3067\u3059\u3002\u30b5\u30d6\u30d7\u30e9\u30a4\u30e0\u30fb\u30ed\u30fc\u30f3\u5371\u6a5f\u3001\u304a\u3088\u3073\u30ea\u30fc\u30de\u30f3\u30b7\u30e7\u30c3\u30af\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

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